Tottenham vs Roma Predictions

Tottenham vs Roma: Key Insights

• Opta supercomputerBacked Tottenham to beat Roma with a convincing pre-match simulation of 56.5%.
• Spurs have lost just one of their 10 home games against Italian teams in all competitions.
• Roma have won just one of their 23 away games against English teams in all competitions.

Angel Postecoglou will have to get Tottenham back on track when they host Roma in the UEFA Cup on Thursday.

Tottenham Hotspur produced their best result of the Postecoglou era as they beat Manchester City 4-0 at the Etihad Stadium on Saturday night.

James Maddison's first-half double set the tone, and Pedro Polo and Brennan Johnson scored after the break to help City seal a remarkable victory.

The win was all the more impressive considering Tottenham had to play Ben Davies and Radu Dragussin at center back, while Mikey van der Ven and Cristian Romero were out with injuries. Richarlison, Mikki Moore and Wilson Odobert will be the other absentees on Thursday.

Tottenham Hotspur's attention is now back on this European competition as they sit seventh in the UEFA Cup league stage table, some 13 places ahead of their Italian visitors.

Postecoglou's side lost 2-3 away to Galatasaray in their last European game, with goals from Will Lankershire (who was later sent off) and Dominic Solanko coming up short against the Turkish giants.

However, Spurs have plenty of home comforts. They have won their last seven UEFA Europa League home games without conceding a single goal and have scored 19 goals themselves.

Johnson has been at the heart of Tottenham's efforts in the tournament. The former Nottingham Forest winger has been directly involved in three goals (two goals, one assist) in four UEFA Cup matches this season. That's the most by a Welsh player in a single Champions League season since Gareth Bale in 2020-21 and Tottenham (three goals, one assist).

Roma have just five points in the 2024-25 season. In all competitions, this Serie A team is also winless in their last four matches after losing 0-1 to Napoli last time out.

Club legend Claudio Ranieri was brought in to turn things around and the struggles at both ends of the pitch remain. Despite completing the most passes in the UEFA Cup this season (2,199), they have scored just three goals.

Of the teams that have scored a goal in the tournament so far, only Ludogorets (1 goal per 1,096 successful passes) has a worse goals per successful pass rate than Roma (1 goal per 733 passes).

Ranieri will be without Alexis Salmeks and Eldor Shomurodov for this match, while Mario Hermoso could face a late fitness test with a muscle problem.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Roma Head to Head

This will be the first official meeting between the two sides, although Spurs are enjoying facing Roma's Serie A club.

In fact, Tottenham have lost just one of their 10 home games against Italian sides in all competitions (W5 D4), losing 1-2 in March 2018 to Juventus.

In comparison, Roma have won just one of their 23 away games against English teams in all competitions (D8 L14) and since a 1-0 win over Liverpool in February 2001, they have not won in 15 such games.

Tottenham vs Roma Predictions

Opta Supercomputer backed Tottenham Hotspur are the favorites for this match - the home team won a convincing 56.51 TP3T in 10,000 pre-match simulations.

Roma only won the simulation game dominated by the same data at 21.0%, with a tie more likely at 22.5%.