Arsenal vs Paris Saint-Germain Stats: Key Insights
- Opta supercomputerRate Arsenal as favorites with a 44.81 TP3T chance of winning, compared to 29.41 TP3T for Paris Saint-Germain.
- Arsenal have never lost to Paris Saint-Germain in Europe and have met them five times before.
- Paris Saint-Germain have lost five of their last six Champions League matches away to English teams.
Arsenal and Paris Saint-Germain will face off in the much-anticipated first leg of the Champions League semi-final with both sides carrying the weight of history on their shoulders.
The two teams prepare to go head-to-head at the Emirates Stadium on Tuesday knowing they are on the cusp of an exciting tournament in Munich next month, with both clubs in with a chance to finally win Europe's top competition for the first time.
Mikel Arteta's Chargers will defiantly make the most of their home field advantage against an opponent they have never lost to in five previous European competitions.
Their current form in the Champions League is particularly strong. Arsenal are unbeaten in their last eight games, winning seven and drawing one. It's their second-longest unbeaten run in a single campaign after a 12-game unbeaten run (W8, D4) in the 2005-06 season, when they made their only last appearance.
The Gunners lead the Champions League in total game time this season at 53%, the highest percentage of any team.
Furthermore, only Inter Milan (11 TP3T) have a lower percentage of game time behind than the Gunners (61 TP3T), who have never trailed in the knockout stages against PSV Eindhoven and Real Madrid.
It's not exactly a groundbreaking admission that Bukayo Saka is important to Arsenal's chances. The England star has made 16 appearances for Arsenal in the Champions League, scoring nine goals and dishing out six assists - the most goals by an English player in his first two seasons in the Champions League and the most by a winger in his first two seasons since Sadio Mane (16 in 2017-18 and 2018-19).
Paris Saint-Germain traveled to North London having lost five of their last six Champions League (W1) away games, losing to four different opponents (Manchester City x2, Arsenal, Newcastle and Aston Villa) in that time. They did, however, beat Liverpool in the last 16 in March.
The French club failed to win two Ligue 1 games this past week. After a 1-1 draw away to Nantes in midweek, they suffered a surprise 1-3 loss at home to Nice on Friday night. It was their first league defeat of the 2024-25 season, but after winning the league title three weeks ago, their attention has now understandably turned to the Champions League.
Ousmane Dembélé looks set to be one of the danger men for Luis Enrique's side. The French ace has been directly involved in 10 goals this season (seven goals, three assists) and could equal the record currently held by Kylian Mbappe for the most goals involved in a single campaign by a Paris Saint-Germain player (11 in the 2020-21 season - 8G, 3A).
Part of their success this season has depended on the speed and directness of their forward options, with four Paris Saint-Germain players averaging more than two crosses completed per 90 minutes in this season's matches (Désiré Doué 3.1, Hélvécha Kvaratschéria 2.7, Bradley Bakola 2.6 and Dembele 2.2).
This represents the maximum for a single team (players with 300+ minutes on the pitch). Meanwhile, they finished with a total of 190 crosses, which is the most by any team in a single tournament since Barcelona (238) in the 2014-15 season, which was also coached by Luis Enrique.
And an even more bizarre fact is that this will be the third time that the two Spanish managers have gone head-to-head in a Champions League semi-final.Carles Rexach (Barcelona) v Vicente del Bosque (Real Madrid) in the 2001-02 season and Pep Guardiola (Bayern Munich) v Luis Enrique (Barcelona) in the 2014-15 season are the first two times this has happened.
Arsenal will be without the suspended Thomas Partey for this game, but Mikel Merino and Ben White should both be available after last week's 2-2 draw with Crystal Palace in the Premier League. Ricardo Calafiore could return to the roster, but Jorginho has joined a lengthy list of absentees that includes Gabriel Jesus, Gabriel Magalhães and Kai Havertz. Conversely, Paris Saint-Germain have no absentees and are expected to be at full strength.
Arsenal vs Paris Saint-Germain head-to-head
The mouth-watering match will be the sixth meeting between Arsenal and Paris Saint-Germain, with the Gunners unbeaten in their previous five games (W2, D3).
In fact, Arsenal are the rivals that the Ligue 1 giants have met in European competitions but never won (5 times).
Arsenal, of course, have already beaten Paris Saint-Germain in the Champions League this season, with a 2-0 win over the Emirates in the league stages in October.
Only one English club has beaten Paris Saint-Germain twice in a single tournament, and Manchester City did it in the semifinals of the 2020-21 season (2-1 away, 2-0 at home).
Arsenal vs Paris Saint-Germain Predictions
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