Arsenal vs Crystal Palace Predictions

Arsenal vs Crystal Palace stats: key insights

• Arsenal before the match Opta supercomputerBeat Crystal Palace 63.6% in the simulation.
• Crystal Palace have lost their last six official matches against Arsenal in a row.
• Crystal Palace have conceded eight goals to Arsenal this season, losing 3-2 in the League Cup and then 5-1 in the Premier League.

Arsenal host Crystal Palace at the Emirates Stadium on Wednesday, hoping to move one step closer to their goal of finishing second in the Premier League this season.

With the Gunners 13 points behind league leaders Liverpool and only five games remaining, the dream of a first Premier League title since 2004 will have to be put on hold for a season.

However, they can postpone the inevitable in this game, with a draw or win enough to keep Liverpool's champagne frozen for at least another four days. However, if Crystal Palace does cause a shock and beat Mikel Arteta's side on Wednesday night, it will officially confirm Liverpool's title.

While Arsenal are keen to finish second, six points ahead of third-placed Nottingham Forest, much of their attention has turned to a potential first Champions League title. After a quarter-final win over record European champions Real Madrid, the Gunners are now just three games away from UCL glory as they face Paris Saint-Germain in a two-legged semi-final.

Arsenal are coming into form at a good time. They remain unbeaten in 11 games, winning six of them in Wednesday's London derby. The last win came in Sunday's 4-0 thrashing of Ipswich Town, with Leandro Trossard scoring twice and Gabriel Martinelli and Ethan Nwaneri also scoring at Portman Road.

Arsenal's excellent recent form has been largely down to the recovery of Bukayo Saka, but the performances of Martin Ödgö and Declan Rice have not gone unnoticed. So far, Odego has been the Gunners' leading chance creator in April (11), while Rice has been involved in four goals (two goals, two assists), including two incredible free-kick goals in the UCL first leg against Real Madrid.

Mikel Merino has also been in excellent form after providing cover for late-season injuries to Havertz and Jesus in the forward positions. Since coming on as a substitute to score twice in a 2-0 win over Leicester City on February 15, the Spaniard has been the club's top scorer (six) and the player involved in the most goals (10).

Arteta's men will face Crystal Palace, who may have their eye on Saturday's FA Cup semi-final against Aston Villa at Wembley, and have not been at their best in the Premier League since reaching the semi-finals on April 2nd. Since then, Crystal Palace have won just one game in the league, while they drew 0-0 at home to Bournemouth on Saturday, following heavy away defeats to Manchester City (5-2) and Newcastle (5-0) the week before.

The Eagles are hoping Jean-Philippe Mateta can rediscover his scoring touch. The French striker has scored just one goal in six appearances (373 minutes) since sustaining the injury after being shoved down by Millwall goalkeeper Liam Roberts in the FA Cup fifth round on March 1st. Prior to his injury, Mata had started 2025 in good form, scoring eight goals in nine games for Crystal Palace after January 1st.

Crystal Palace will be without American defender Chris Richards for the match, who was red-carded in the weekend's draw with Bournemouth.

Arsenal will be without Gabriel Magalhães for the remainder of the 2024-25 season after he was injured earlier this month, with Yakubu Kivior continuing at center-back alongside the influential William Saliba. Riccardo Calafiori is tipped to be on the verge of a return to this North London side, but this game may have come too soon for the Italian.

Arsenal vs Crystal Palace Head-to-Head

Arsenal have won their last five Premier League matches against Crystal Palace by a combined score of 17-2. Including this season's 3-2 League Cup victory at the Emirates Stadium, Arsenal have now won six consecutive official matches against Crystal Palace.

Crystal Palace have conceded eight goals to Arsenal this season, losing 2-3 in the League Cup and then 1-5 in the Premier League on December 21, 2024 at Selhurst Park. Gabriel Jesus scored five goals in those two games, but he will miss the game due to injury.

However, Crystal Palace will be hoping to continue their good record in London derbies this season. They have won three Premier League London derbies this season - losing 2-0 away to Fulham, 2-0 away to West Ham United and 1-0 at home to Tottenham Hotspur. The last time they won more top-flight games in a single campaign was in the 1990-91 season (5).

If they want to win another London derby, they will have to keep an eye on Martinelli. The Brazilian has scored five goals in his last five Premier League games against Crystal Palace, while his six goals against Crystal Palace are the most he has scored against any opponent.

Arsenal vs Crystal Palace Prediction

Arsenal are expected to beat Crystal Palace in this match on Wednesday night. The Gunners, ahead of the match Opta supercomputerThe simulation accounted for 63.6% of wins.

Palace have caused a shock at the Emirates Stadium in 16.2% of 10,000 simulated games, while the probability of a draw between the two teams is 20.2%.