Crystal Palace vs Arsenal Predictions

Crystal Palace vs Arsenal stats: key insights

• Arsenal are favorites to win on Saturday.Opta supercomputerThink they have a 56.41 TP3T chance to win.
• The Gunners are unbeaten in all nine Premier League London derbies in 2024.
• Crystal Palace have lost their last four Premier League meetings with Arsenal.

Arsenal have drawn their last two Premier League games but will look to put some pressure on Liverpool and Chelsea when they face Crystal Palace for the second time on Saturday.

The Gunners had to fight back to win their EFL Cup quarter-final on Wednesday night, with Gabriel Jesus scoring a second-half hat-trick to help them to a five-goal thriller after Jean-Philippe Mateta helped Crystal Palace take the lead in the fourth minute.

Arsenal are now unbeaten in nine games in all competitions, although Mikel Arteta will be keen to replicate that result in the league after a 0-0 draw with Everton.

A London derby could be just what the Gunners need - they are unbeaten in all nine of their Premier League matches in 2024 (W7 D2). However, they have not avoided defeat in all such games in a calendar year since the 2004 Invincibles season (W7 D3).

While much of the focus will once again be on Arsenal's set-piece prowess - they have scored more goals from set-pieces (nine) than any other team in the Premier League this season (excluding penalties) - Crystal Palace will feel they can cause their defense some Trouble.

Arsenal have kept nine clean sheets in 10 league games between February and September. However, they have conceded in their last six away games.

Oliver Glasner's side will also fancy their chances at home, where they have already beaten Arsenal's north London rivals Tottenham Hotspur earlier this season.

After losing five of their first eight league games this season (D3), Crystal Palace have now lost just one of their last eight and are unbeaten in five (W2 D3). They are looking to win back-to-back games for the first time since a three-game winning streak in May after beating Brighton 3-1 on Sunday.

However, their previous home London derby ended in a 2-0 loss to Fulham. Crystal Palace have alternated between defeats (4) and victories (3) in their last seven home Premier League derbies.

Former Arsenal striker Eddie Nketiah's 85th-minute goal on Wednesday gave Crystal Palace hope of a comeback, and he's looking to leave his mark again against his old club. He is yet to score a goal for Crystal Palace despite finishing with 20 shots in 11 appearances.

Declan Rice didn't play in the midweek game, but he was just resting and is expected to return on Saturday. That said, Ben White, Kenyo Tomoyasu, Oleksandr Zinchenko and Ricardo Calafiore will all miss out.

Crystal Palace came away from Wednesday's loss with no further fitness issues, but Daniel Muñoz will miss the game through suspension.

Crystal Palace vs Arsenal Head-to-head

Arsenal have lost just two of their last 19 away league games against Crystal Palace (W10 D7), with both losses coming by 3-0 scores in the Premier League (April 2017, April 2022).

However, Crystal Palace have lost their last four Premier League meetings with Arsenal, and have lost just one of their previous eight matches against them (W2 D5).

Since beating Arsenal in April 2022, Crystal Palace have lost their last five games against the Gunners in all competitions by a combined 15-3 scoreline.

Crystal Palace vs Arsenal Predictions

Arsenal are expected to get back to winning ways in the Premier League on Saturday after Opta supercomputerOf the 10,000 pre-match simulations, Arsenal won 56.6%.

Despite Crystal Palace's recent momentum, they have a 19.9% chance of winning, with the other 23.5% simulations ending in a draw.