Liverpool vs Manchester City Predictions

Liverpool vs Manchester City: Key Insights

• Liverpool wereOpta supercomputerListed as a favorite, the home team has a 45.31 TP3T chance of winning.
• Manchester City have won just one of their last 21 Premier League games away to Liverpool.
• Pep Guardiola's men are winless in six matches in all competitions.

Life at City is likely to get worse before it gets better.

Pep Guardiola's side appeared to be on the rebound when they took a 3-0 lead over Feyenoord in the Champions League on Tuesday. However, that game ended 3-3 and the Premier League champions' winless run was extended to six games in all competitions.

ground Opta supercomputerfigures, they now only have a 12.6% chance of retaining the title.

So traveling to Anfield to face Arne Slaughter-led Liverpool - who went into the weekend eight points clear at the top of the Premier League - is hardly the kind of game Guardiola wants to play as he looks to get City back on track.

Liverpool are now clear favorites to win the Premier League title according to our model, and they come into this game on the back of a 2-0 win over Real Madrid in the Champions League, with goals from Alexis Michael Allister and Cody Gakpo helping the Reds put the European champions to the sword.

The rivalry between Pep Guardiola and Jürgen Klopp has lit up English soccer over the last eight years, but Slotter is quickly making this Liverpool team his own.

It will be the Dutchman's first meeting with Manchester City and Pep Guardiola. None of Liverpool's last six managers have lost their first league meeting with the reigning English champions (W4 D2), not since Roy Evans lost 1-0 to Manchester United in the 1993-94 season.

In his managerial career, Guardiola has only lost more games to Tottenham (nine) than he has to Liverpool (eight). In fact, he has won just six of 22 meetings with United (27%), his lowest winning percentage against any team he has encountered more than five times in all competitions.

Liverpool's only Premier League defeat this season was a 0-1 loss to Nottingham Forest at Anfield. Since then, they have won seven of their eight league games (D1), seven of which have seen at least two goals scored.

Mohamed Salah, who scored twice last week to help Liverpool to a 3-2 comeback win over Southampton, has made headlines this week, claiming after the game that the club have yet to offer him any sort of new contract - his current one expires at the end of the season.

If this is Salah's last season at Liverpool, he is doing his best to start on a high note. As well as having the most goals and assists in the Premier League this season (16), Salah's goal involvement has contributed to a league-high 17 points against Liverpool this season.

Salah, who conceded a penalty against Real Madrid on Wednesday, scored seven goals for Liverpool in the league against Manchester City. He needs just two more top-flight goals at Anfield to score his 100th on the Red Devils' home turf.

Liverpool vs Manchester City Head-to-Head

Manchester City have won just one of their last 21 Premier League away games against Liverpool (D7 L13), beating them 4-1 in February 2021. They haven't won at Anfield since May 2003 (2-1).

Liverpool have won just one of their last nine Premier League games against Manchester City (D5 L3) and that was a 1-0 home win in October 2022.

Of the 54 Premier League meetings between Liverpool and Manchester City, the visitors have won just six, the lowest percentage in any competition with more than 30 meetings (11%).

Liverpool vs Manchester City Predictions

Perhaps not since Liverpool won the title in the 2019-20 season has there been such a gap in form between these two rivals.

If Liverpool win, they will be 11 points ahead. In the history of the Premier League, only three teams have overcome a gap of more than 11 points and won the title (Manchester United in 1992-93 and 1995-96, and Arsenal in 1997-98).

Well, the onus is really on City to end their poor run of form. But the Opta supercomputer makes Liverpool the favorites, with a 45.3% chance of them winning.

Manchester City top the data-driven simulation at 29.91 TP3T, while the chances of a draw are 24.81 TP3T.