Arsenal vs Ipswich Predictions

Arsenal vs Ipswich stats: key insights

• Arsenal are the favorites in this match, with 10,000 units of Opta supercomputerWon 84.2% in the pre-game simulation.
• Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 41 Premier League home games against promoted teams (W36 D5), winning 12 in a row.
• Ipswich have not won their last 11 away league games against Arsenal (D4 L7) and have lost their last four in a row.

Arsenal host Ipswich at the Emirates Stadium two days after Christmas with high hopes of giving their fans a late present with a win. A win would take them to 36 points in the Premier League, three times as many as their opponents, highlighting the quality gap between the two clubs for the 2024-25 season.

After a rocky seven-game stretch between October and November's international days in which they lost more games (three) than they won (two), Arsenal have recovered to win seven and draw two of their nine matches. Including a 1-1 draw away to Chelsea on Nov. 10, the Gunners have gone unbeaten in 10 consecutive games in all competitions, including Saturday's brilliant 5-1 thrashing of Crystal Palace.

Gabriel Jesus scored twice in that victory, which followed his EFL Cup hat-trick against the same opponents in midweek. The Brazilian striker has now scored five goals from 10 shots in two appearances (501 TP3T) after scoring just one goal from 41 shots (2.41 TP3T) in his 33 appearances for the club. He is now aiming to score in three consecutive appearances for Arsenal for the second time and first time since April 2023. Mikel Arteta will be hoping he can do that as Jesus holds the record of never losing a Premier League game when scoring (61 games - W56 D5).

Havertz is another player who scored for Arsenal in the 5-1 win over Crystal Palace and will be looking forward to another game in London. Havertz's last 10 Premier League goals have all been scored in the capital, the longest run of goals by an Arsenal player since Aubameyang from December 2019 to September 2020 (11).

However, the Gunners were dealt a blow in the first half of Saturday's victory when talismanic Bukayo Saka limped off the pitch with an injury. Arteta confirmed on Monday that Saka will be out for "many weeks", so the Gunners will have to spend all of the 2024-25 season without their leading chance creator (57), who has been involved in more goals (22 - 9 goals, 13 assists) than any other Arsenal player.

Saka's absence means he will start for the Gunners alongside Ben White, Raheem Sterling and Takehiro Tomoyasu, but Zinchenko is likely to return to the starting line-up for this game.

Kieran McKenna's Ipswich come into this encounter following a heavy home defeat by Newcastle United on matchday 17.

That 4-0 loss was their most recent miserable result at home, but an away trip might not be such a bad thing for the Tractor Boys. Both of their league wins this season have come away from home against Tottenham Hotspur and Wolverhampton Wanderers, and they have twice as many points away from home (8) as they have at home (4) in the 2024-25 season.

Two points from safety by MD 18, the Opta supercomputer has no faith in Ipswich's hopes of avoiding relegation back to the Championship. After the weekend's games, they are relegated in a simulation of 76.91 TP3T for the season - just below Southampton's chances (97.81 TP3T).

Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 41 Premier League home games against the promoted side (W36 D5), winning 12 in a row, which won't inspire any more confidence in Ipswich. The Gunners have a chance to move within one game of the Premier League record held by Chelsea (43 games unbeaten between 2001 and 2015).

McKenna will be encouraged by the news that Liam Delap can return to the squad after serving a one-match suspension against Newcastle United. He has made an impact on the Suffolk side this season, scoring twice as many goals (six) as any other player in the Premier League.

Arsenal vs Ipswich Head-to-Head

This will be the first official meeting between Arsenal and Ipswich since January 2011, when the two sides met in a two-legged EFL Cup semi-final. After a 0-1 first-leg defeat at Portman Road, the Gunners progressed to the final with a 3-0 win at the Emirates Stadium two weeks later.

In the league, Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 13 league games since losing 2-1 away to Ipswich (W10 D3) in September 1984, a game played just four months after the birth of Ipswich boss McKenna.

Ipswich are without a win in their last 11 away league games against Arsenal (D4 L7) and have lost the last four in a row. Their last such win came in August 1979 (2-0 under Bobby Robson).

Arsenal vs Ipswich Predictions

Arsenal is the favorite in this race, winning 84.21 TP3T in 10,000 pre-game simulations on the Opta supercomputer.

Ipswich only had 5.8% to claim a shock victory, but a draw would also have been a brilliant result for the relegation-threatened club - a result that played out in a simulation that was exactly 1/10 before kick-off on Friday.