Tottenham vs Liverpool Predictions

Tottenham vs Liverpool stats: key insights

• Liverpool are favorites to win on Sunday.Opta supercomputerThink they have a 52.7% chance of winning.
• Liverpool have lost just two of their last 23 Premier League meetings with Tottenham, winning 15 of each of the last 17 head-to-head meetings between the two teams, drawing six and scoring in each.
• If United win, they will ensure they top the Premier League table on Christmas Day for the first time since 2020. However, they have only won the title once (in 2019-20) in their last seven top-flight campaigns, and they are top of the table for the season on December 25th.

The final round of Premier League fixtures before Christmas is just around the corner and Arne Slaughter-led Liverpool are hoping to remain top of the table until December 25th. They visit Tottenham Hotspur in a late Sunday game, shortly followed by their closest rivals Chelsea traveling to Goodison Park to face Everton.

After beating Southampton 2-1 on Wednesday to reach the EFL Cup semi-finals, the Red Devils have still lost just one of their 24 matches in all competitions - against Nottingham Forest in September.

The win will ensure Liverpool top the Premier League table on Christmas Day for the first time since 2020. However, the Reds have only won the title once in their last seven top-flight matches, and they led all the way at Christmas, which was in the 2019-20 season.

They have made a good start to the season under Slaughter, thanks in no small part to the efforts of Mohamed Salah, who has made plenty of headlines on and off the field this season.

With no further news on a new contract for the Egyptian, his time of glory on Merseyside could be coming to an end. If that's the case, he seems determined to go out on a high and has already marked himself as a prominent candidate for end-of-season honors.

In the 32-year history of the Premier League, no player has ever reached double figures for both goals and assists in the season leading up to Christmas. Salah, who has 13 goals and nine assists this season, will make history if he scores a goal on Sunday.

Salah appears to be on track for the best creative season of his career, having never had more than 13 assists in a single league season before (his assists in the 2021-22 season).

Only Arsenal's Bukayo Saka (10) has more assists in the Premier League this season, although the expected assists (xA) figure may suggest Salah has benefited from some excellent shooting from his teammates. In fact, his total of 3.3 xA this season has been surpassed by 10 Premier League players, including Dwight McNeil (3.95), Brian Mbemo (3.6) and Yuri Tilemans (3.5).

In fact, Salah's 0.6 assists per 90 minutes in 2024-25 was easily his best figure in any single Premier League season, but his xA per 90 was higher in 2023-24 (0.27) and 2021-22 (0.24, 0.23 this season). He is averaging 1.8 chances created per game this season, which is actually his third-lowest figure in a Premier League season, his highest being 2.3 last season.

That said, Salah's importance to Slot's winning machine cannot be overstated. Indeed, the 22 goals he's been involved in in the league this season account for 71% of Liverpool's total (31), making him by far the highest scoring player in all competitions.

While Salah is looking to make Premier League history, fellow attacker Diogo Jota is also hoping for redemption after being sent off in this match last season - a 1-2 loss for Liverpool in September 2023.

Wakata came on as a substitute and scored the final goal in Liverpool's 2-2 draw with Fulham last weekend, his eighth Premier League goal as a United substitute - no player has scored more Premier League goals since his September 2020 arrival at Anfield.

Meanwhile, Tottenham Hotspur continued to be hot and cold, beating Southampton 5-0 on Sunday and then Manchester United 4-3 in the EFL Cup quarterfinals on Thursday. Those results came after a five-game winless streak in all competitions.

That was how Angel Postecoglou reacted to Tottenham's chaotic midweek win, but the inconsistency of his side, who have scored three or more goals in nine different games this season, has frustrated many.

Only Chelsea (37) have surpassed them with 36 Premier League goals this season, while they are fourth in expected goals (31.2 xG) and total shots (249) and second in shots on target (97).

However, defensively, it's often a mess. Spurs are eighth in the league in expected goals conceded (xGA) at 24.3, and their opponents create better chances against Spurs than 15th-placed Crystal Palace (22.5) or 16th-placed Everton (20.3).

Tottenham's high press paid a high price in their last 4-3 home loss to Chelsea, and if they continue in a similar fashion against Liverpool's livewire attackers, this could be another tough game.

Only Chelsea (28) have attempted more fast breaks than Liverpool (23) in the Premier League this season, with Salah (10) leading the way.

It could be an open, entertaining match, and Tottenham will pin their hopes on captain Son, who last scored a goal and assisted two against Southampton in the Premier League.

His two assists put him in a tie with Darren Anderton for the most assists by a Tottenham player in Premier League history (68), while he became the 20th player to score in at least 100 different Premier League matches.

Sun needs to make 316 appearances in the tournament, meaning he's accomplished the feat faster than players like Teddy Sheringham (329), Nicolas Anelka (331), Robbie Keane (335) and Jermain Defoe (338).

Tottenham Hotspur vs Liverpool

Considering their recent result against Tottenham Hotspur, Liverpool should head south with confidence. They have lost just two of their last 23 Premier League meetings with Tottenham, winning 15 and drawing six, while scoring in each of their last 17 matches.

However, Tottenham did win this game 2-1 last season, a game that was overshadowed by controversy as Jürgen Klopp's Reds were down to nine men after Curtis Jones and Wakita were red carded.

Meanwhile, Luis Diaz saw VAR Darren England incorrectly award a potential opening goal, for which refereeing body PGMOL later apologized.

That game was decided by Joel Matip's injury-time equalizer, the sixth 90th-minute winning goal in a Premier League match between Tottenham Hotspur and Liverpool, more than any other in the history of the tournament.

Tottenham Hotspur can now win back-to-back home games against Liverpool in the Premier League for the first time since a five-game winning streak from 2008 to 2012.

However, Tottenham have lost nine of their last 11 Premier League games against the top-ranked team on the day, except against Manchester City (2-2 in August 2019,3-2 in February 2022). They have lost all five of their home games in that span.

Tottenham vs Liverpool Predictions

The Opta supercomputer has made Liverpool favorites to take all three points at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, with the visitors' chances of winning at 52.7%.

In 10,000 pre-race simulations conducted by the Opta supercomputer, Tottenham won by just 24.6%, with a finish rate of 22.6%.