Manchester United vs Sunderland Prediction : Ruben Amorim wants to celebrate 50th game with a win

Manchester United vs Sunderland: Key Stats

• Opta supercomputerMaking Manchester United the pre-match favorite, 59.71 TP3T's simulation shows them beaten against Sunderland on Saturday.
• Sunderland have won only two of their last 30 league meetings against Manchester United.
• This will be Ruben Amorim's 50th game in charge of Manchester United All games. Could this be his last?

When you're Manchester manager, every game is a big game United. Expectations are too big to not Case in point, even when hosting a promoted team at Old Trafford.

However, Saturday's game against Sunderland feels particularly important for Ruben Amorim. Whereas there is no indication that the powers that be at Manchester United are looking to relinquish his services despite the team's poor form, International matchdays are a notorious time for such decisions 䍬. It will be a long two weeks until their next game for the Reds Devils if they suffer defeat here.

A club-specific omen was not on their side either. In total, the game referred to Amorim's half-century in charge of Manchester United, a level that the last five men failed to reach as Landmark won their 50th game.

The quirky nature of soccer means that struggling managers will probably win, where as David Moyes, Louis van Gaal, Jose Mourinho, Solskjaer Solskjaer and Erik Ten Hahn have all failed.

Amorim may have other recent trivia against him. United have won the last two Premier League home games, combining with their previous nine at Old Trafford. However, the Red Devils are looking for a third consecutive home win, the first since April to August 2023 when they won eight in a row. What was once a fortress has been completely different over the past two years.

After the best opening six games for the promoted side since West Ham United in 2012, Sunderland will fancy their chances of getting a rare win in Manchester. They've won just one of their 29 away Premier League games against the city's two clubs, though.

In this victory there were only four draws, and their scoring average of 0.24 was the worst of all teams over 15 away games against Manchester United and Manchester City. Manager Régis Le Bris's hopes of improving this poor record were not helped by not having six players at most.

Ajayi As things stand, Alesse looks closest to a return. Dennis Leo Sirkin Hjelde and Romain Mundell should be back after International Day, but Habib Diarra is a long-term absentee. Sunderland will also be without Renildo through suspension.

At least they'll have Granit Zaca available. He assisted each of Sunderland's last three Premier League goals, Chris Wardle was the only Black Cats Back in 1997, the player had four consecutive assists. Zaka also set up a His last goal against Manchester United was in January 2023 when he scored, and so is the history on his side.

Manchester United's squad is in better shape at the moment. Casemiro will be able to return from suspension, while Amad Diallo could also be involved. Lisandro Martinez and Nousseir Mazraoui should be the only two absolute misses out of the squad.

Amorim hopes Bruno Fernandes will be at his inspirational best. The Manchester United captain has scored five goals and six assists in his last nine games to advance his opponents, but his two penalty misses in the Premier League have proved costly this season with Fulham and Brentford on his side of the league.

Fernandez is also responsible for the most breakthrough passes leading to shots on goal in the Premier League this season (9), while no player has been equally active in their team's open shots this season than him (37).

Benjamin Cesc is one of the players who should be able to utilize that skill. His last goal at Brentford means that probably won't happen here though. Sesco has not scored in consecutive league appearances since December/January last season, so has been trying to follow up a productive performance in 2025.

The promoted club looks set for a 2025-26 season made up of sterner stuff than the previous two seasons. If Sunderland get a point here, they will equal Southampton's total of 12 in 2024-25. While United should win, you certainly can't rule out a positive result for the visitors.

Manchester United vs Sunderland Head to Head

The head-to-head record favors United far more. Their and Sunderland's respective form in the 2025-26 season.

United have lost just two of their last 30 league games at Sunderland (22 wins), their first since a 3-0 win in April 2017. Their record of avoiding defeat at Old Trafford is even stronger.

In all competitions, Sunderland have won just one of their last 31 away games against Manchester United, which they won 1-0 in May 2014 thanks to a goal from Sebastian Larsson.

Since then, the Black Cats have only visited Old Trafford three times Then, but in the three losses, there were as many red cards as goals They suffered (one).

Manchester United vs Sunderland Predictions

Manchester United is the favorite in this game. Ota supercomputer, as usual, ran 10,000 simulations of the Red Devils team which scored three points in 59.7%.

The study found that a draw (21.1%) was slightly more likely than a win for Sunderland (19.2%). However, it is worth noting that Manchester United are the pre-match favorites rated at 67.9% when hosting another promoted team recently.

While they did beat Burnley 3-2, they needed the 96th minute penalty to do so. United's form is so mixed that it could even threaten the predictive powers of a supercomputer.