Man City vs Man Utd predictions: can Man Utd win another derby Frustration?

Manchester City vs Manchester United: Key Stats

• Manchester City are expected to be in the Premier League, at 65.6% Opta Top 10,000 pre-game simulations on supercomputers.
• City's three point total is the fewest ever gained by City Pep Guardiola in his first three league games of a season.
• Manchester United are looking for back to back wins for the first time since March 2021 at the Etihad Stadium.

Manchester Manchester City and Manchester United take part in a derby at the Etihad Stadium in Need Results, but for different reasons.

Manchester City started the season with a 4-0 win over Wolves, but since falling out of the race, losses to Tottenham and Brighton & Hove Albion have left them chasing a win to close Back to top.

Meanwhile, United earned their first win of the season against Burnley last time out thanks to Bruno's 97th-minute goal Fernandez's penalty, although Ruben Amorim was still looking for his spot-kick The first back-to-back Premier League victories since taking over in November 2024.

After signing Gianluigi Donnarumma following a busy transfer window (including deadlines), City were expected to put last season behind them, this time in the title race, but they were already six points behind leaders Liverpool early on in the table.

This is the first time since the 2004-05 season that City have lost two of their first three top-flight games in a season (W1); only one other team has ever had the same record at this stage and recovered to win the title - Manchester United in the 1992-93 season.

The three points City got were Guardiola's lowest total after the first three league games of a season. But no Since the 1995-96 season, which ended in relegation, City have lost three of their first four games.

虽然这种情况不太可能发生，但考虑到曼城仍然 根据 Opta 的说法，有 6.3% 的机会赢得冠军 超级计算机，它们最近的形式确实引起了一些担忧。

Guardiola has lost 345 of 49 Premier League matches (W247 D49) with 22% since early November 2024 (11).

Losing to Manchester United would give him the second-biggest award for losing 50 games, behind Sir Alex Ferguson, whose 50th didn't fail until his 367th game.

But, with the odds heavily stacked against them, United's chaos The table will be tested if they try to do so.

Amorim did beat Manchester City, Sporting Portugal and Manchester United twice last season, but he's generally poor in the Premier League, winning just 8 of 30 games in the competition (D7 L15).

Half of his victories have come against promoted teams, including Burnley's win before International Day, and the Portuguese manager's winning percentage against unpromoted teams is just 16% (4/25).

One of Amorim's priorities is to improve United's level of attacking output, although the loss of Matheus Cunha and the injury to Mason Mount haven't helped his cause.

In the first three games of the season, Manchester United have scored 58 goals in the top flight with 14 more shots on goal than any other team. Their expected goals (xG) total (6.78) is also the largest, despite having scored only four goals, two of which came from Ur goals.

Fernandez could be important if United want to get to safety Two consecutive Premier League victories. He has created the most chances in the league, both overall (12) and in the open play (eight), while he has also scored in each of their last three games against Manchester City Top League.

As for team news, City will be without Kovacic, Rajan Chelki, Rajan Ait Nouri, John Stones and Omar Mamouche, who was injured in the national team for Egypt. Donnarumma could make his debut Trafford at the expense of James.

United will be without Cunha, Mount, Dalot and Lisandro Martinez, while Amorim confirmed on Friday that Altai Despite the deadline, Baindil will keep his place in goal Sena's arrival Ramens from Royal Antwerp.

Manchester City vs Manchester United Head-to-Head

Manchester City have won five of their last eight Premier League matches against Manchester United (D1 L2), although they have failed to win any of them Last season's match against them (D1 L1) was the first since last season 2020-21.

United made a remarkable late comeback to win the game 2-1 in the 2024-25 season, with Amad Diallo playing a major role in a victory Fernandez took a penalty and then scored the winning goal himself in the 90th minute shortly after.

Since the 2015-16 season, the home team has played only 6 of 20 Premier League matches in the Manchester Derby (D4 L10).

Manchester United caused Pep Guardiola's home total of 25% as City manager lost the league and won four times at the Etihad Stadium against Espanyol (4/16). They are looking for the first time since March 2021 to win back-to-back games there.

Manchester City vs Manchester United Predictions

Despite the loss, Manchester City are expected to win the derby Their last two games, the Opta supercomputer gives them a 65.6% chance of winning on Sunday.

United are looking for back-to-back wins on the road Meanwhile, the rivals are at just 15.81 TP3T, with the possibility of a slightly higher rate of 18.61 TP3T.