Manchester United vs Liverpool Predictions

Manchester United vs Liverpool by the numbers: key insights

• Manchester United may be at home, but Liverpool are the favorites to take all three points with a 48.41 TP3T chance of winning.
• Mohamed Salah has scored in both of Liverpool's league matches and is the Premier League's all-time leading goalscorer at Old Trafford.
• Liverpool have lost just one of their last six Premier League games away to Manchester United.

Two of the Premier League's biggest rivals will meet at Old Trafford on Sunday, although it's fair to say that for at least one season, and for most of the recent ones, there has been a class gap between these two teams.

This is, of course, Arne Slaughter's first game against Manchester United since becoming Liverpool manager. Since Bob Paisley's 3-1 defeat to the Red Devils in November 1975, none of the Red Devils' last nine managers have won their first league meeting with the Red Devils. Meanwhile, George Kay is the only Liverpool manager to win his first away league game against United, winning 5-2 at Old Trafford in November 1936.

Sloter and Manchester United's Erik Ten Hag have met four times during their time in the Dutch Eredivisie - Sloter's AZ beat Ten Hag's Ajax twice in the 2019-20 season before Ten Hag beat Sloter's Feyenoord side twice in the 2021-22 season.

It will be the first Premier League match between the two Dutch coaches since February 2016, when Hiddink-led Chelsea won 2-1 against Koeman-led Southampton.

Liverpool won their first two games under their new manager and have a lot to live up to after the departure of Jürgen Klopp. Both wins came by 2-0 scores over Ipswich Town and Brentford. They've won their first three games of a season twice before, in the 2013-14 and 2018-19 seasons - they beat Manchester United 1-0 on September 1 in the third game of the 2013-14 season, so that's a good sign.

No team in the Premier League has taken more shots on goal than Liverpool this season (37) and the Reds have the lowest expected goal total (5.3) and lowest expected goal total (1.0) to date.

Meanwhile, United have lost 13 of the 35 Premier League matches played in September since Sir Alex Ferguson's retirement (W19 D3), and have lost the month of May since the 2013-14 season (15). That's more defeats than they have suffered in 76 games (W45, D19, L12) under the Scotsman.

Assuming he plays, it will be Virgil van Dyk's 200th Premier League game for Liverpool. The defender has been on the winning side in 139 of his 199 games so far, which is already the most wins for any player in their first 200 games for the club in this competition.

At the other end of the pitch, Mohamed Salah has scored twice for Liverpool this season and is the highest scoring away player at Old Trafford in Premier League history with six goals. The Egyptian has scored in his last six away games against Manchester United in all competitions (nine goals in total).

Marcus Rashford is probably Manchester United's best hope. He has only scored more goals against Leicester City (8) than against Liverpool (7) in all competitions. All of those goals came in his 10 appearances against United at Old Trafford.

As for team news, Mason Mount will be out for around five weeks with a hamstring injury sustained in last weekend's loss to Brighton & Hove Albion, so Joshua Zielkirchzer could make his first start for United.

Liverpool are expected to be unchanged from their 2-0 home win over Brentford. Slotter told a press conference on Friday that new signing Federico Chiesa is unlikely to be involved. "He will train with us today, but it is more likely than not that he will not be in the Sunday squad," he said.

Manchester United vs Liverpool Head-to-Head

Liverpool have lost just one of their last six Premier League away games against Manchester United (W2 D3), while only Manchester City (9) have won more away games at Old Trafford than the Reds (7) in the history of the competition.

Manchester United have won just one of their last 12 Premier League meetings with Liverpool (D5 L6), beating them 2-1 at Old Trafford in the third game of the 2022-23 season.

These two old rivals met three times last season, drawing 0-0 at Anfield and 2-2 in the Premier League, before United won 4-3 in dramatic fashion after extra time in the FA Cup quarter-finals.

Manchester United vs Liverpool Predictions

Liverpool may not have beaten Manchester United in three attempts last season, but according to our supercomputer, they have a 48.4% chance of winning on Sunday.

Meanwhile, United only topped the simulation at 28.21 TP3T run by the model. The game was tied at 23.4%.

Manchester United vs Liverpool predicted lineups

Manchester United:Andre Onana, Nousseir Mazraoui, Harry Maguire, Lisandro Martinez, Diogo Dalot, Casemiro, Kopi Menu, Amad Diallo, Bruno Fernandes, Marcus Rashford, Joshua Zilkzer.

Liverpool:Alisson, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Ibrahima Konate, Virgil Van Dyke, Andrew Robertson, Ryan Gravenbergh, Alexis Mac Allister, Dominic Soboslai, Mohamed Salah, Luis Diaz, Diogo Jota.