Man Utd vs Burnley predictions: will the Red Devils finally be solid? First win of the 2025-26 season?

Manchester United vs Burnley: Key Stats

• Manchester United beat Burnley by a convincing 67.9% Opta supercomputerof the pre-game simulation.
• Since the beginning of April, United's six points are the fewest for any ever-existing Premier League team.
• Burnley have won just one of their last 25 visits to the Old Town Trafford in all competitions.

Ruben Amorim will be desperate for Manchester Manchester United will secure their first official win of the season when they host Burnley on Saturday.

A shock midweek League Cup exit to fourth-tier side Grimsby Town was arguably the worst result of the Portuguese manager's career so far.

Although they fought back from 2-0 down to level the score at 2-2 in the 90th minute with goals from Brian Mbewumo and Harry Maguire, they went out of the ensuing League Two rivalry on penalties, with Mbewumo missing a crucial penalty. It It was the first time they'd been knocked out of a competition for fourth-tier opponents in their history.

The result means that Amorim has won just 45% of his 35.6 matches in charge of Manchester United officially - the lowest win rate of any manager since Alex Ferguson finally retired in 2012-13.

In the Premier League, Manchester United beat Arsenal 1-0 in the 1st round and then drew 1-1 with Fulham last weekend when Emile Smith Rowe canceled out Rodrigo Munoz's own goal. Bruno Fernandez scored a first-half penalty in Sunday's match at Craven Cottage without scoring.

Fernandez has scored 10 goals in his last eight games Top League appearances against promoted teams (four goals, six assists), so he's looking to make amends here. The Manchester United captain has also created 41 chances in those appearances, nine of them April 2024 against Burnley, despite not assisting the game.

Manchester United have only gone three consecutive games without a win, debuting in the Premier League three times before, although on each occasion These guys have ended more positively than their recent fortunes. They won Two of those seasons (1992-93 and 2007-08) in the league, while the last time they did so was in the 2014-15 season, finishing fourth.

Their recent struggles offer little hope of a turnaround However, Amorim's side. United have won since the beginning of April The fewest points of any team in the top flight (6 - W1 D3 L7)

In fact, Burnley have the same number of points as Man Utd in that period of the competition should they win on Saturday, despite only being promoted from the Championship last season.

At the heart of most of United's problems is their form in the Old Town Trafford, who have lost eight of their last 13 Premier League matches (W3 D2). No team that has been around forever has lost more home top-flight games since then (Tottenham Hotspur have also lost eight), which began running on December 7 last year.

While Manchester United's monotonous form can't rule out any cold streaks, they do, at least, remain unbeaten in their last 23 Premier League matches for promoted teams (W20 D3). Their last such loss was a 4-1 defeat at Watford in November 2021, which marked the end of Ole Gunnar Solskjaer's reign.

Scott Parker's team will make the short trip to the Northwest Confidence is high. Josh Cullen and Jayden Anthony scored one goal and assisted on another in Saturday's 2-0 win over Sunderland at Turf Moor.

The victory ended a run of four consecutive defeats in the Olympic Games The competition, although Burnley has not won consecutive Premier League titles since April 2022 games.

Head coach Parker last won back-to-back top-flight games in April 2019 while in charge of Fulham. His only Premier League trip to Manchester United also resulted in a 1-1 draw May 2021 in his previous tenure.

The England manager has won his last two away games in the Old Town at Trafford, with Eddie Howe and Graham Potter leading Newcastle United and West Ham United to 2-0 wins last season. Unfortunately for Parker, there has never been an example of an England manager making it three wins in a row away to United in the Premier League.

If Parker were to change that record, he might look at Kyle's experience Walker won six games at Manchester United in this tournament playing for United and Tottenham Hotspur. That's tied with former City teammates for the most players David Silva and James Milner.

An unlikely victory on Saturday would make Walker the sixth player to achieve the feat at three different clubs. Curveheads Friedel, Emile Heskey, Nicolas Anelka, William Gallas and Milner are the others to have done so.

In team news: Lisandro Martinez remains United's only long-term absentee, while Nousseir Mazraoui could return from a thigh injury. Zeki Amdouni, Manuel Benson, Connor Roberts and Jordan Bayer are all in action for Burnley.

Manchester United vs Burnley Head-to-Head

Zeki Amdouni's penalty three minutes before the start of the game was disallowed Anthony's 79th-minute opener, the last time the two sides met in the 2023-24 Premier League season at Old Trafford in April.

Of the teams that have visited Old Trafford on at least eight occasions Competition, that draw left Burnley as one of only three teams to avoid defeat in more than half of their matches (P9 W1 D4 L4), along with Chelsea and Manchester City.

However, United have lost just one of their last 25 home games against Burnley (W15 D9) in all competitions.

In January 2020, they fell to a 2-0 defeat after a goal from Chris Wood and Jay Rodriguez; the win marked Burnley's first victory Premier League win at Old Trafford.

Manchester United vs Burnley Predictions

Otta SupercomputerBack United to win at home 68.0% in 10,000 pre-match simulations dominated.

Burnley's chances of leaving the Old Town are just 13.6% Trafford take all three points, with a draw slightly more likely In the same data-driven simulation of the game, the ratio is 18.3%.