Arsenal vs Leeds United predictions: can the Gunners continue their remarkable run of form against promoted sides?

Arsenal vs Leeds United: Key Stats

• Arsenal take all three points against Leeds United 70.4%'s pre-match simulation by Opta supercomputerDone.
• Leeds United are winless in their last 14 meetings against Arsenal (L12 D2), losing the last six games Platoon.
• Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 42 Premier League home games against promoted teams (W37 D5) and will match their rivals Record to avoid defeat here.

Leeds Manchester United started their Premier League return with a hard-fought victory over Everton, but could soon be brought back for Saturday's trip to Arsenal.

Daniel Farke's side face a visit The Gunners, unbeaten in their last 42 Premier League home games against promoted teams (W37 D5).

Their last such defeat was a 1-0 loss to Newcastle United back in November 2010. Arsenal will equal their rivals' longest unbeaten streak at home against a promoted team, 43 times Chelsea between 2001 and 2015 if they avoid an unexpected defeat here.

Mikel Arteta will be confident of taking all three points, too. He has faced Leeds United without losing more times than at any other time The Ballon d'Or has skippered Arsenal in all competitions (P8 W7 D1), winning all five at the Emirates.

His side will enter their first home game of the 2025-26 season with a narrow 1-0 win away to Manchester United last Sunday thanks to Riccardo Calafiori's header at Old Trafford.

This is Arsenal's 31st Premier League corner kick goal since the start of the 2023-24 season, 11 more than any other team. They have also scored more xG from set pieces than any other team in MD 1 (1.02).

However, Arsenal also have the third lowest empty xG on MD 1 (0.28), ahead of only Aston Villa and Everton - the latter against Leeds United - playing Victor Gyökeres in a mediocre debut.

Jack Reyes failed to take a single shot on goal against Manchester United, allowing It was the first time since the start of the 2023-24 season that he had not scored a goal in a top-flight match.

Like Arsenal, Jacareth may have enjoyed last season's visit However, the title winners. The Swedish striker was straight away scored 12 goals in 14 appearances against the promoted side scored nine goals and assisted five times in Portugal's Liga A. Sporting CP.

He is expected to lead the way in the league for the first time In action at the Emirates following this week's news of Kai Havertz's worrying knee injury. Christian Norgaard may have to wait for his home bow due to a minor issue, while Gabriel Jesus is Arsenal's only long-term absentee.

It is widely reported that the Gunners have won the race to sign England international Eberech Eze from Crystal Palace ahead of rivals Tottenham Hotspur. It However, they are unlikely to get his signature before this game, Eze is expected to play some part in Crystal Palace's UEFA Division One clash against Fredrikstad on Thursday night.

Meanwhile, Leeds United will look to win their first two games in the Premier League for the first time since the 2002-03 season Terry Venables. The Whites beat Everton 1-0 Monday, courtesy of Lucas Nmecha's last-minute penalty at Elland Road.

Nmecha became only the second player to score a penalty against him making his debut for Leeds United in 1922 alongside Percy Whipp. He will be aiming to join Alan Smith (1998), Patrick Bamford and Mateusz Klitsch (both in 2020) as the only players to have scored in their first two Premier League appearances for the club.

Questions were raised about Falque's tenure before this season Starting, but only Arteta and Manchester City's Pep Guardiola came on Longer current number of wins (three each) in the competition.

However, the Norwich City skipper's two consecutive wins with a 2-1 victory over Brentford November 2021 were both contained at Falkirk, a feat he has never achieved at this level before.

In team news, new striker Dominic Calvert-Lewin is not thought to be ready to face his former club Everton, but he could make his debut at the Emirates. Jaka Björn is also set to return from a suspension that extended from last season's Serie A clash at Udinese, although Falque confirmed on Thursday that Ethan Ampadu will be out until at least the first international day after suffering an ankle injury on Monday night.

In addition to Calvert-Lewin, Swiss striker Noah Okafor could also play after arriving from Milan Thursday.

If Leeds United want to overturn their disastrous record in London, they have lost 30 away league games in their last 23 matches (W4 D3). Farke's side also lost their last seven Premier League games in the English capital since going 2-1, winning at Brentford on the final day of the 2021-22 season to avoid relegation.

Arsenal vs Leeds United Head-to-Head

It could be time for Leeds United fans to avert their eyes.

Arsenal are unbeaten in the last 14 meetings between these two in all competitions (W12 D2), winning the last six matches in the row.

Leeds United have also lost 12 of their last 10 Premier League games away from home against Arsenal (W2), although they haven't kept a clean sheet in any of their last 14 such visits.

Their last Premier League match away to Arsenal ended in a 1-4 defeat back in April 2023, thanks to Jesus' second goal, as well as goals for Ben White and Granite Zaka.

Arsenal vs Leeds United Prediction

Opta supercomputerTough to top all three points eventually fell to Arsenal, who had 70.41 TP3T in 10,000 pregame simulations.

In the same data-driven simulation of the game, the unlikely draw was rated at 17.2%, where Leeds United only had a 12.5% chance of advancing in the competition with back-to-back wins.