Aston Villa vs Newcastle: Key Stats
- Aston Villa take all three points against Newcastle on 42.6% hits Opta supercomputerof the pre-game simulation.
- Villa are unbeaten in their last 21 home games The match (W15 D6), winning the last eight in a row.
- Newcastle have lost five of their last six Premier League away games against Villa.
Aston Villa opened their Premier League home campaign against Newcastle United in the early kickoff on Saturday.
Eddie Howe's side beat Villa to reach the fifth and final UEFA Champions League spot on the final day of the 2024-25 season, thanks to a superior goal difference.
Although Newcastle lost the last two Premier League matches - 1-0 against Arsenal and Everton. Howe's men last lost more consecutive matches in the December-January period of the 2023-24 season (4), while the last time they did not score a goal was in January 2021 (3).
Anthony Erlanga has since joined from Nottingham Forest as well as Malic Tio who moved Milan to Tyneside and loaned goalkeeper Aaron Ramsdale to boost Newcastle's powerhouse lineup.
However, the main focus of the transfer window has been wanton striker Alexander Isak. Howe says "everything is working" and Liverpool are interested in the future of the striker, who could be ruled out of the club on Saturday after being disciplined.
Considering he's already scored, the Swedish striker would be a considerable miss Scoring 11 goals in his last 13 Premier League games away from home. Only potential Liverpool teammate Mohamed Salah (13) has scored more goals away from home than Isak since the first October 27 in this competition.
His absence can also be felt considering Newcastle have failed to win any of their last five Premier League games without Isaac (D3 L2) and without him not scoring the last three of them.

If Isaac is absent as expected, it's possible that Anthony Gordon could play an unfamiliar role as a stopgap role striker with 22-year-old William Osula having played just 906 minutes of Premier League football heading into the 2025-26 season.
Gordon made his debut in that role in a pre-season friendly at Atletico Madrid last weekend, but was withdrawn from the match with an ankle injury. However, Howe was quick to play down the injury after the game: 'We think he's got a problem with his ankle. Initially, maybe it was thought to be a muscle problem, but the good news is that we think it's just a turn of events. So the initial feeling was he should be fine.
Regardless of the Isaac saga, Newcastle are aiming to maintain their impressive winning streak. They have won their first league game in each of the last three seasons more times than they have in the previous 14 seasons combined (W2 D4 L8).
Maintaining that form at Villa Park will be a tough challenge, as Unai Emery's side are unbeaten in their last 21 home games All competitions (W15 D6) and have won their last eight. It's their longest unbeaten run since they went unbeaten in 24 home games between September 1976 and May 1977.
Like their visitors, Villa have been fairly quiet in the transfer market so far. Defender Yasin Özcan and striker Evan Guessand have joined from Kasimpasa and Nice respectively, while keeper Marco Bizot has been signed from Brest.
Bizzo could make his debut on Emiliano Martinez's final day of suspension after being red-carded in United's controversial loss, with Villa left to feel aggrieved by United against Morgan Rodgers' disallowed goal for a foul on Altay Baindeel.
However, Rodgers could miss the opener with a sprained ankle suffered in preseason. He will be another sorely missed absentee, considering his six assists from April through the end of the 2024-25 season were the most in the Premier League.
Ollie Watkins became Villa's highest scorer in the Premier League era last season. He will once again lead the way at home against one of his favored opponents, having scored in all four of his Premier League matches home to Newcastle (5 goals).
The England striker has failed to score in all four of his MD 1's However, showed up at the game.

Aston Villa vs Newcastle Head-to-Head
Newcastle suffered a 4-1 defeat to April in their last trip to Villa Park. Fabian Scherer canceled out Watkins' early opener, but goals from Ian Mattheson and Amadou Onaona, and an ouchie from Dan Bourne helped Villa to a big win.
The visitors continue their hot streak, having lost five of their last six Premier League trips to Villa Park. The exception was in January 2024, when they won 3-1 thanks to a Schär brace.
However, Villa have not won consecutive Premier League games against Newcastle since 2004-05.
It will be the second time in three seasons that the pair have met on opening day, with Newcastle starting the 2023-24 season with a 5-1 win over Villa at St James' Park.
Aston Villa vs Newcastle Predictions
Opta Supercomputer wins at home as Aston Villa beat Newcastle Simulation by 10,000% in 42.6 pre-match.
The Magpies still have a 32% chance of winning the data-driven Sims, while draws occur at a rate of 25.4%.
Looking ahead to the season, Newcastle are fourth in the table The post Usually appeared first on Opta The pre-season Premier League predictions are 9.5%, while fifth place is the most likely result for Villa at 9.6%.

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