Chelsea vs Manchester United Predictions

Chelsea vs Man Utd stats: key insights

• Chelsea are the overwhelming favorites on Opta's Supercomputer, which assesses them to have gained all three points for 65.41 TP3T.
• This match is the most drawn match in the Premier League Historically, the previous 27 meetings between the two teams have ended full time.
• Cole Palmer scored four goals against Manchester United, including a hat-trick in this match last season.

Friday night soccer is rare for Chelsea and Manchester United. It's only their second Premier League match to meet on this day of the week, after a 2-2 draw almost 23 years ago.

William Gallas, David Beckham, Bolo Shandon and Ryan Giggs scored in reverse the other night. Real Barclay stuff.

Although this is one of the most important matches in the Premier League over the years, its level of priority the two teams are rarely as different as they are now weeks.

Chelsea start the night in fifth place, level on points with Aston Villa v Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur 45 mins ago.Opta Supercomputer for Enzo Maresca's side have a 54.0% chance of making it into the Champions League's top five Qualifying places. Traveling to Nottingham Forest on the final day, the Blues' hopes will diminish If they don't win here, it will matter too much.

They are unlikely to be favored by their London rivals Tottenham Hotspur for the same reason that this match is largely meaningless United. Both clubs have no real chance to finish the game above the 14th place in the table, and they will clash in the Europa League next Wednesday in the league final in Bilbao.

That makes Ruben Amorim's starting lineup almost impossible to predict. He might have picked a stronger team than he did in the 2-0 loss to West Ham last weekend to keep his top players up to speed, but he clearly wasn't going to take any chances.

Bruno Fernandes is second only to Mohamed Salah among Premier League players involved in scoring goals this season, so he's someone Amorim can keep an eye on to bring back. Long-term absentees Lisandro Martinez and Joshua Zirkzee are definitely out, while the likes of Diogo Dalot and Mathis de Ligt are on the verge of returning.

Maresca The most obvious selection problem arises up front, after Nicholas Jackson was sent off in Sunday's 0-2 loss away to Newcastle. Christopher Nkunku may be unavailable, so Pedro Neto may take the striker role as he is the only other player to start every league game of the season in the 4-2-3-1 formation deployed by Chelsea.

That aside, Jadon Sancho can't face his parent team, Mihailo Mudrick, who remains suspended, and four other members of the Blues' Ellarge Squad will be unavailable due to injuries.

Maresca can at least hold on to the fact that Cole Palmer ended his goal drought in his last Premier League game at Stamford Bridge. He scored four goals and was Chelsea's tied-leading player Premier League goalscorer against Manchester United, partnering Edouard Gudjohnsen.

Even without their very different priorities for the rest of the weeks, the form book showed that a Chelsea win was the only realistic outcome under the Friday night lights.

The Blues are undefeated in their nine Premier League home games so far in 2025, with seven wins. They have earned a tie for the most points (23) and conceded the fewest goals at home (7) of any team at this level this year.

Manchester United can only dream of such a record. They have won their last seven league games, while the club's last winning streak was longer No wins between December and February 1989 (11 games) 1990. That was before the real Barclays Bank came along.

Although it's just an omen (we're dealing with cold, hard logic here), Chelsea haven't lost their last home game for the past 22 seasons. With United's eyes firmly fixed on Spain next week, it's hard to see anything other than this run continuing for the Blues.

Chelsea vs Man Utd Head-to-Head

The corresponding match last season was one of the craziest matches of the 2023-24 season of the Premier League.

Chelsea were 2-0 up in 19 minutes, but trailing 2-3 the game went into the 10th minute of injury time. Palmer somehow still had time to score twice, complete his hat-trick and seal the win as his side secured a remarkable 4-3 victory.

However, this was Chelsea's only Premier League victory over Manchester United in their previous 14 Premier League meetings.

While United have been enjoyable in this head-to-head at Old Trafford More recently, they have won just one of their last 11 league games A 2-0 win at Stamford Bridge in 2020.

With these records on a collision course, it's no surprise that Chelsea's match against Manchester United is the most drawn in Premier League history (27). The first meeting of the season ended 1-1, so the 2024-25 season could become the eighth season in which both clashes have been drawn.

Chelsea vs Manchester United Predictions

Home fans have almost a two-thirds chance of celebrating at Stamford Bridge on Friday.

Opta Restaurant Supercomputer has run 10,000 simulations of the game. The probability of Chelsea winning is 65.4%. the most likely positive result for Manchester United is a draw. This is 18.5% of time and the probability of an away win is 16.2%.

Manchester United's five-year wait for victory at Stamford Bridge continues If supercomputers are on the money.