Arsenal vs Crystal Palace Prediction : Premier League Will the leaders even face a shot on goal?

Arsenal vs Crystal Palace: Key Stats

• Arsenal are the favorites to win the tournament according to 62.7%'s favorites to win the tournament Opta supercomputerThe
• Crystal Palace have only won once in their last 14 away league games against the Gunners.
• Jean-Philippe Mateta is the third Crystal Palace player to score five goals in his first eight games in the Premier League League season.

Every game is an important game when you want to win the Premier League title League. For Arsenal, Crystal's visit Crystal Palace could be part of a crucial weekend. With Manchester Manchester City are unbeaten in five league games away to Aston Villa Meanwhile, Arsenal's advantage over the chasing pack could be growing Before the end of Sunday.

The Gunners have an excellent record at the Emirates when occupying first place in the table. Arsenal have only lost two of the 70 Premier League home games they have started and were top of the table on the day (winning 52). They were beaten by Hull City September 2008 vs Manchester City and February 2023 vs Manchester City.

They've won seven of eight such games at the Emirates (drawing the other) and scored 28 goals since the City defeat. Best of Palace Accordingly, they were hoping for a draw, but their recent form suggests they're on track for an excellent 2025.

Crystal Palace have drawn eight of their last 14 Premier League matches (losing only once), including a 3-3 draw against Bournemouth on Matchday 8. Since the beginning of April, the Eagles have drawn nine Premier League matches - three more than anyone else yet.

Oliver Glasner's side will convert more expected goals (xG) into actual goals if they can win more games. Crystal Palace lead the Premier League in shots on goal (43), xG (17.4) and big chances this season. However, they have underperformed their xG by a wide margin (-5.4) and have missed 33 big chances 22 times.

As if that wasn't enough to jeopardize their chances of winning, they're facing a team that won't allow almost anything. Arsenal have failed to score in their last two Premier League games. The only other side they haven't faced since the 2003-04 season was Manchester City in 2014. They have only faced one shot on target in their 4-0 win over Atletico Madrid in the Champions League on Tuesday.

The Gunners have faced the fewest shots on goal (65), the fewest shots on target (18), the lowest xG (4.8) and conceded the fewest goals (three) in the Premier League this season. That's tied for the fewest goals they've conceded after eight Premier League games, as well as with 1998-99. That was also the last time they kept five clean sheets in their first eight games.

If Arsenal have any doubts about their title chances, they rest their lack of goals in open play. Scoring below Burnley (with 6 times) and the same as Sunderland (5 times) is not very pretty. Nicolas Jover is also ready for them in the positioning game.

Arsenal lead the Premier League in corners scored (seven) and total goals scored this season from set-pieces (10), finding six dead-ball goals in their eight matches. It is the earliest any team has scored 10 set-piece goals in a season Premier League history.

Mikel Arteta could rotate his side after the midweek clash with Atletico Madrid. Kai Havertz, Gabriel Jesus, Nonie Madueke and Martin Ödekel are unavailable due to injury, but Leandro Trossard could be back for the Champions League winners after a break.

He scored Arsenal's winning goal against Fulham last weekend, and he has scored in both of his last two Premier League starts for Crystal Palace. He's also never lost when scoring for the Gunners In the competition, 21 consecutive matches.

The visitors don't have too many selection problems with only Cheick Ducure, Caleb Kebolha and Chaddy Riad missing the game. They will be hoping to hand AEK Larnaca their shocking Divisional League defeat behind them. If Crystal Palace are to win on Sunday, they will need Jean-Philippe Mateta to keep his hot streak alive.

Eight of Mikel Mikhail Matata's last nine league goals have come in London, and he's scored five goals in his last eight derby games. He is also the third Crystal Palace player to score five goals in the first eight games of the Premier League season, but chances are it could be expensive here.

Arsenal vs Crystal Palace Head to Head

Head-to-head record strongly suggests a home win.

Arsenal have won five of their last six Premier League meetings with Crystal Palace, although the exception was a 2-2 draw in last season's fixture. It's been more than six years since they were beaten by the Eagles at the Emirates.

Crystal Palace have won just one of their last 14 away league games against Arsenal, losing eight times in that sequence. Shoe-horned April 2019, they won 3-2 under Roy to clinch victory Hodgson.

Arsenal vs Crystal Palace Predictions

The league leaders are another favorite to win the title their title charge by three points.

Opta Rate Arsenal's chances of winning at 62.7% Supercomputer. The Gunners are expected to get a point even if they don't beat visiting London from the south.

Out of 10,000 simulations, 19.8% resulted in a draw, with Crystal Palace's victory occurring with only a 17.5% probability.