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Tottenham vs Aston Villa Prediction: can Thomas Frank end Unai Emery's ominous run?

Tottenham vs Aston Villa: Key Stats

  • This game was almost too close to call Opta supercomputerBut Tottenham have just gained the upper hand with a winning percentage of 38.4% pre-match simulation.
  • Thomas Frank has never beaten Unai Emery's Aston Villa in five games Previous attempts (D2 L3).
  • Villa have won four of their last six Premier League games against Tottenham (L2).

Thomas Frank hasn't had much success against Unai Emery in the past, but Tottenham's clash with Aston Villa this weekend is his chance to make a difference that...

Tottenham Hotspur are currently third in the Premier League table behind Seven games in, but a win over Villa could take them to the top of the table if they win both games Arsenal and Liverpool dropped points against Fulham and Manchester Jointly respectively.

However, beating Emery is much easier said than done by Frank, who has yet to taste victory against the Spaniard England's top flight.

Frank has never beaten Emery's Villa side in the Premier League In five attempts (D2 L3, all with Brentford). That's the most times he's ever met an opposing manager in a game Superior.

On top of that, Frank has only won 8 league games against Villa once before, tied for the lowest winning percentage in the competition against a side (12.51 TP3T).

On the other hand, Emery has only lost twice in his nine premierships in the league against Tottenham (5 wins and 2 losses), with more league wins Villa against Fulham (6) than Tottenham (4).

To make things even more difficult for Frank, Villa have been on their way to the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

Villa began their Europa League campaign by entering International Match Day with league victories over Burnley and Fulham, while also beating Feyenoord and Bologna.

After failing to win any of their first five league games this year season (D3 L2), Villa won the last two victories. From the beginning of March, only Manchester City have enjoyed more Premier League wins (11) than Emery's team (10).

But Frank and Spurs shouldn't worry too much about the challenges ahead, especially with the clinical nature of his attack.

Tottenham Hotspur have scored 13 goals (including an equalizer) and have the biggest expected goals (xG) of any team in the Premier League this season at 7.5 (+5.5). In fact, their shot conversion rate of 16.91 TP3T is second only to Manchester City (17.41 TP3T).

Tottenham vs Aston Villa Prediction: can Thomas Frank end Unai Emery's ominous run?

Their 13 goals came from eight different scorers, a total second only to Arsenal and Brighton and Hove Albion (nine times) in seven games.

Mohamed Kudus is their latest scorer to impress Tottenham Hotspur This season, he moved from rivals West Ham United. The Ghana international has completed 30 crosses in the Premier League this year No other player has completed 20 or more in the season.

Kudus completed 72 crosses in his 246 Premier League games Overall appearance. The only player to successfully record 250+ dribbles in the Opta's first 73 games The game (from 2006-07) was Alan St. Maximan (250th first place) 58).

Tottenham have also been strengthened at set-pieces Frank, which could be crucial for their next player Opponent.

A quarter of Villa's shots on goal in the Premier League (25%) have come from corner kick situations this season (19/76); only West Ham United (26%) have a higher proportion.

In fact, only Arsenal (26) and Chelsea (22) registered more corners in total than Emery's side (19).

However, Villa's recent upturn in results coincides with Morgan Rodgers' positive form, a player Spurs need to keep a close eye on Up.

Rodgers delivered an assist in the win over Fulham and Burnley, while he also scored in England's 3-0 win over Wales during International Day.

Rodgers has assisted more goals (nine) than any other player in the Premier League in 2025, but he has never made three consecutive Premier League appearances before.

Tottenham vs Aston Villa Prediction: can Thomas Frank end Unai Emery's ominous run?

The 23-year-old has also contributed directly to two of Villa's games 3 goals (1 goal, 1 assist) against Tottenham Hotspur in the league last season.

Both sides also boast strong records after the game International Match Day.

Since the start of the 2023-24 season, Spurs have won six of their next nine Premier League International Matchday (L3) games, including a 3-0 win over West Ham United earlier this season.

Meanwhile, Villa have won eight of their last 10 league matches on matchdays after international days (D2), including a November 2023 win away to Tottenham.

The hosts are still without James Maddison, Dejan Kulusevski, Yves Bissouma, Ben Davies and Dominic Solanke all injured. Randall Kolo Muani could be close to making his Premier League debut, however, after playing 45 minutes in a behind-closed-doors friendly Last week, he broke his leg in the Champions League win over Villarreal.

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Villa will be relieved by Ollie's leg injury Watkins didn't seem to take England's friendly win over Wales a little more seriously and Three Lions boss Thomas Tuchel has hinted he might be Available for this.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa Head to Head

Tottenham Hotspur and Tottenham Hotspur haven't had a single Premier League game in their last 20 games Villa have ended in a draw since 1 year (Tottenham 14 wins, Villa 6) 1-1 stalemate in May 2012

There are only two matches in the history of this tournament More consecutive uneven matches: Newcastle vs Tottenham Hotspur (21 matches from August 1999 to December 2010) and Chelsea vs Crystal Palace (September 26) 1997 to February 2024).

Villa have won four of their last six Premier League games against Tottenham Hotspur (L2), up from 29 previously (D7 L18).

Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa Predictions

After running 10,000 simulations of the match, the Opta supercomputer expects the pair to go head-to-head at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in Tottenham.

Tottenham Hotspur have a 38.4% chance of winning, while Villa have a 35.1% probability of extending their winning streak the league to three games.

The likelihood of a draw is 26.5% and given Tottenham's recent home form, Villa will fancy their chances of leaving Capital & Something.

Tottenham Hotspur have won only 3 home games in their last 17 Premier League matches (D4 L10). In fact, since the first match of this competition (Nov 2024 vs Ipswich Town), no team has lost more home games (10) or gained fewer home points (13) than Tottenham Hotspur in the competition.

Tottenham vs Aston Villa Prediction: can Thomas Frank end Unai Emery's ominous run?

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