Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea: Key Stats
- Otta SupercomputerWith a winning percentage of 48.11 TP3T to place Chelsea as favorites to win the title Nottingham Forest has a probability of 27.81 TP3T.
- Forest manager Angie Postecoglou has lost his four Premier League as Tottenham Hotspur boss against Chelsea.
- No team's game has produced more goals in the Premier League this season than Chelsea's.
Angel Postecoglou needs to overcome a dismal record against Chelsea if he is to ease the mounting pressure he faces at Nottingham Forest.
Forest face Chelsea at the City Ground on Saturday There are reports that Postecoglou - who has failed to win any of the seven games he has been in charge - is facing increasing scrutiny and former Forest player Sean Dyche could be drafted in to replace him The Lounge.
Unfortunately for the Australian, recent history is not on his side. Postecoglou was with Chelsea during his two-year stint as Tottenham manager. He would be joined by the likes of Rafael Benitez, Mick McCarthy, Tony Pulis and Owen Coyle in games against the Blues.
Worryingly for Forest, they were beginning to suffer a bit of nostalgia. Five of their previous seven Premier League home games have ended in defeat (W1, D1), as many losses as they suffered in 22 previous games at the City Ground (W11, D6). Defeats This would represent the third defeat at home for the first since December 2023 in a run of four consecutive.
Scoring goals is fast becoming a problem for the side, who have been beaten in four of their last five Premier League meetings (D1) and have failed to score in each of those defeats. Forest may not be able to score in three consecutive top-flight games for the first time since April 1999.
Forest could be due to Chelsea's rather mixed away form of late. Enzo Maresca's men have managed to do just that winning just three Premier League games in their last 14 (D4, L7). In fact, by 2025, their points tally is only 27% away appearances (12/45), representing the lowest percentage of any team that has been present (last season and this season) in the top flight.
However, Chelsea games tend to involve goals, while no team has scored more goals than they have in the Premier League this season (22 - 13 in favor, 9 against). Of these, 13 were away appearances (8 in favor, 5 against), and only Burnley have produced more away games (17).
Of the eight goals Chelsea celebrated on the road, four of them were scored from corners. This represents just as many goals from corners as they scored away from home throughout the 2024-25 Premier League season.
Moises Caicedo has had an impact on both Chelsea and Ecuador The midfielder has finished more tackles (28) and made more interceptions (18) than any player in the top flight this season. Meanwhile, Forest ace Elliot Anderson has won 55 possessions, a league-high in scoring.

Chelsea's growing defensive problems should be eased over the weekend, with Trevor Chalobah back from suspension and Wesley Fofana, Tosin Adarabioyo and Benoit Badiyasile all likely to compete. However, Cole Palmer is not expected to play, while Enzo Fernandez is out of the Argentina international. Reece James is available despite missing England's latest training camp, while Caicedo, who should be involved, has opted to skip the Ecuador fixture.
Meanwhile, Forest are hoping to welcome back Alexander Zinchenko and Douglas Louis to visit the Blues.
Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea Head-to-Head
Forest have won just one of their last eight matches Top League meetings with Chelsea, drawing three and losing three Four.
Their only win in that period was a 1-0 victory over the Blues in September 2023 at Stamford Bridge.
Meanwhile, Chelsea have won three of their last four games Premier League away to Forest (D1), including their last two.
The Blues have never before won three consecutive away league games against Forest.
Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea anticipate
Chelsea are seen as favorites to win Saturday's match, with the Opta supercomputer rating their chances of winning 48.1% out of 10,000 simulations conducted.
Conversely, Forest have a 27.8% chance of winning and a draw is seen as a 24.1% chance.
In the overall season forecast, Chelsea are currently the most likely to finish fourth (12.4%), with their title chances now rated at just 2.6%.
Forest are struggling at the other end of the table. As things stand, they are most likely to finish the game exactly where they are now 17th (12.05%), but 18th and relegated just a little lower at. 12.01%.

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